Magmatism and Volcanic Hazard

Magmatism and Volcanic Hazard

COMET scientists are at the forefront of international efforts to monitor active volcanism by combining satellite observations of deformation (changes in the size or shape of a volcano or the surrounding areas), topographic change (shifts in a landscape’s surface or physical features), and volcanic gases with ground-based observations.

Interferogram constructed from satellite data, showing the lateral extent of volcanic interaction. Credit: Juliet Biggs (University of Bristol)

We have conducted a series of multiscale, multi-observable studies of recent eruptions, and COMET scientists have been key international partners during the response to major volcanic crises, including major events at Fentale (Ethiopia), Fagradalsfjall (Iceland), La Soufriere (St Vincent) and La Palma (Spain).

Through the BGS we provide weekly briefs to the UK government on volcanic activity globally through International Forward Look and the EU through ARISTOTLE, with the ability to increase reporting frequency during crises.

We have been developing interactive tools targeted at volcano observatories, as well as exploiting new advances in machine learning to flag volcanic deformation events. We have also developed new methods to produce near real-time SO2 flux and plume height time series data during explosive eruptions and passive degassing.

By combining satellite observations with detailed understanding of physical processes and evolving understanding of magmatic conditions under the ground, COMET scientists are helping to understand subsurface processes and build new models of magmatic processes.

If we wish to stop eruptions from becoming disasters we need to (i) make rapid observations and quickly identify potential precursory signals, (ii) interpret these using reliable modelling frameworks and (iii) work in partnership with local volcano observatories and volcanic ash advisory centres to enable them to make improved critical decisions.


Selection of Recent Publications

Weber, Gregor; Biggs, Juliet; Annen, Catherine, Distinct patterns of volcano deformation for hot and cold magmatic systems, Nature Communications, vol. 16, no. 1, (2025)

Sigmundsson, Freysteinn; Parks, Michelle; Geirsson, Halldór; Hooper, Andrew; Drouin, Vincent; Vogfjörd, Kristín S.; Ófeigsson, Benedikt G.; Greiner, Sonja H. M.; Yang, Yilin; Lanzi, Chiara; Pascale, Gregory P. De; Jónsdóttir, Kristín; Hreinsdóttir, Sigrún; Tolpekin, Valentyn; Friðriksdóttir, Hildur María; Einarsson, Páll; Barsotti, Sara, Fracturing and tectonic stress drive ultrarapid magma flow into dikes, Science, vol. 383, no. 6688, pp. 1228–1235, (2024)

Prata, Fred; Prata, Andrew T.; Tanner, Rebecca; Grainger, Roy G.; Borgas, Michael; Aubry, Thomas J., The radial spreading of volcanic umbrella clouds deduced from satellite measurements, Volcanica, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 1–29, (2025)

Asensio-Ramos, María; Cofrades, Ana Pardo; Burton, Mike; Spina, Alessandro La; Allard, Patrick; Barrancos, José; Hayer, Catherine; Esse, Ben; D’Auria, Luca; Hernández, Pedro A.; Padrón, Eleazar; Melián, Gladys V.; Pérez, Nemesio M., Insights into magma dynamics from daily OP-FTIR gas compositions throughout the 2021 Tajogaite eruption, La Palma, Canary Islands, Chemical Geology, vol. 676, pp. 122605, (2025)

Pappas, Odysseas; Biggs, Juliet; Prats-Iraola, Pau; Pulella, Andrea; Stinton, Adam; Achim, Alin Marian, Measuring topographic change after volcanic eruptions using multistatic SAR satellites: Simulations in preparation for ESA’s Harmony mission, Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 317, pp. 114528, (2025)

Header image credit: Reegan Fraser on Unsplash

More from Earth Observations

COMET Annual Report 2023/24

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